Scientific Research Programme

Science that makes climate accountability verifiable.

We are building the open scientific infrastructure that sits beneath every net-zero commitment: the measurement standards, decarbonisation pathways, attribution methods, and residual emission thresholds that currently do not exist at the required scientific standard.

The gap we are closing
Nearly 2,000 corporations have pledged net-zero. The scientific infrastructure to verify those pledges does not yet exist. Not from a lack of ambition. From a missing foundation.
How we work
Four interdependent research frontiers, published in peer-reviewed journals, released under open licences, and designed from the outset to embed into GHG Protocol, SBTi, CSRD, and ISSB.
The scale of the opportunity
18 to 21 GtCO₂e of annual reduction potential sits in the real economy. Unlocking it requires science that corporations and cities can actually use. That is what we are building.

A Failure of Infrastructure, Not Ambition

"Science builds credibility. Policy creates incentives. But only the real economy moves the needle. Right now it lacks the scientific infrastructure to do so accountably."
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Measurement

Scope 3 emission factors vary by more than 2x for identical operations depending solely on database choice. There is no shared, version-controlled, industry-specific reference standard.

No standard exists
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Pathways

SBTi applies uniform cross-sectoral reduction rates. Industries like food and beverage span AFOLU, transport, industry, and power simultaneously. No science-based pathway accounts for this.

One size fits none
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Accountability

Year-over-year emission changes cannot be attributed to genuine climate action versus methodology shifts, acquisitions, or activity growth. Progress claims are structurally unverifiable.

Unverifiable by design

Four Interlocking Scientific Programmes

CLARITY, COMPASS, the Progress Tracking frontier, and the Residual Emissions frontier are not software products. They are open scientific libraries: peer-reviewed, publicly accessible, and designed to be embedded into the frameworks that govern corporate climate accountability.

CLARITY
RF1 — Harmonised Scope 3 Emission Factor Database

Closing the measurement gap

The same procurement, same geography, same technology can produce emissions figures that differ by more than twofold depending on which LCA database a consultant selects. CLARITY exists to make that choice irrelevant.

A five-phase harmonisation programme producing approximately 50,000 version-controlled emission factors, released openly at harmonized-factors.org with permanent DOIs and quarterly updates.

↗ Open to: LCA database partnerships, methodology peer review, F&B pilot companies
COMPASS
RF2 — Industry-Specific Decarbonisation Pathways

Closing the pathway gap

No science-based, industry-specific decarbonisation pathway currently exists for sectors that span multiple IPCC categories simultaneously. Companies cannot set credible targets they do not have the scientific tools to derive.

The beta coefficient: an industry-differentiated accountability parameter derived from value-chain-weighted IPCC and IEA sectoral decline rates, enabling a three-tier classification from climate-compatible growth to absolute contraction.

↗ Open to: IPCC/IEA sectoral model partnerships, SBTi V2.0 methodology collaboration
Tracking
RF3 — Progress Attribution and Verification

Closing the accountability gap

A company can report a significant change in emissions that is entirely explained by an acquisition, a methodology revision, or organic growth. Without decomposition, no one can tell. The current state of corporate climate reporting has no answer to this.

A universal decomposition framework that separates genuine climate action from activity effects, methodological shifts, and organisational changes. Target: reducing the unexplained residual from over 60% to below 10%.

↗ Open to: Corporate pilot data, CSRD reporting framework engagement, audit methodology review
Residuals
RF4 — Science-Based Residual Emission Thresholds

Closing the CDR integrity gap

There are no science-based, time-dependent, industry-specific thresholds defining when carbon removal is legitimate versus premature. Companies cannot determine whether CDR investment is a genuine last resort or a substitute for abatement.

Five gate-keeping criteria with dynamic, industry-specific thresholds that decline toward 2050, combined with a three-tier economic assessment comparing marginal abatement costs against marginal abatement benefits.

↗ Open to: CDR technology cost data, Oxford Net Zero Principles engagement, voluntary carbon market dialogue
CATALYST
Supplementary Physical Risk Module — Not a standalone research frontier

Translating Earth system science to corporate exposure

ISIMIP and CMIP6 projections operate at 50km grid cells and sectoral scales. Corporate climate risk assessments need facility-level resolution, supply chain cascade effects, and financial translation. CATALYST bridges this gap.

Translates ISIMIP and CMIP6 climate impact projections into corporate financial exposure, quantifying supply chain cascade amplification and integrating with RF2 and RF4 to ground economic residual and adaptation thresholds.

↗ Open to: TCFD/NGFS engagement, insurance sector partnerships, Jupyter notebook co-development

Open Foundation. Open Methods. Open Collaboration.

All core methodologies are released under Creative Commons. The scientific infrastructure we build is a public good, not a proprietary product. Implementation services are separate and never a condition of access.

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Open Data

Approximately 50,000 harmonised emission factors at harmonized-factors.org, v1.0.0 launching 2026. Semantic versioning, quarterly updates, Zenodo hosting with permanent DOIs. Reproducibility is a requirement, not a feature.

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Open Methods

All system dynamics model files (Vensim and Stella), Python and R damage functions, and decomposition algorithms are published on GitHub with DOI-linked Zenodo releases. Every result in every paper is reproducible from public code.

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Open Collaboration

PhD and postdoc positions, student research projects using open databases, CATALYST Jupyter notebooks for seminar use. The training dataset from the foundational study is publicly accessible via Looker Studio.

🔓 Creative Commons 📦 Zenodo DOIs 💻 GitHub Repositories 🌐 harmonized-factors.org ⚖️ Independent Non-Profit 📖 Peer-Reviewed

A Guardrail System for Corporate Climate Accountability

The five frontiers form an interdependent system. Each closes a specific gap, connects to the others, and targets named institutional actors. Click any row to reveal the interdependencies.

RF1
CLARITY
Incomparable emission factors across sectors prevent credible Scope 3 reporting
2.09x factor variation from database selection alone. 36.4% unexplained cross-sectional variance. 146% temporal coefficient of variation.
Key Stakeholders
GHG Protocol ISO Ecoinvent Agribalyse WRI / WBCSD
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Interdependencies
RF1 ↔ RF3
Circular dependency

Verification requires stable factors; stable factors require validation. Implement iteratively: early harmonisation enables early verification, which feeds back into factor refinement.

RF2 → RF1
Materiality prioritisation

COMPASS materiality framework identifies which emission categories matter most per industry, directing where CLARITY should prioritise harmonisation effort first.

RF2
COMPASS
Arbitrary materiality thresholds enable selective disclosure and non-comparable target-setting
Order-of-magnitude ranges within identical categories. Industry classification explains only 13.6% of Scope 3 variation.
Key Stakeholders
SBTi IPCC IEA UNFCCC OECD Dev. Banks
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Interdependencies
RF2 → RF4
Pathway defines residual threshold

COMPASS pathway analysis provides the scientific basis for defining what constitutes a genuinely residual emission for each industry, feeding directly into RF4 gate-keeping criteria.

RF3 → RF2
Verified achievements validate pathways

Empirically verified corporate climate action from RF3 provides real-world evidence to update and validate the feasibility assumptions embedded in COMPASS dynamic pathway models.

RF3
Tracking
Unverified corporate climate claims undermine policy, capital allocation, and public trust
146% temporal CV. 62.5% LMDI residual for Scope 3. 82% of within-company variation unexplained by operational factors.
Key Stakeholders
CSRD TCFD IFRS CDP GRI ISSB
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Interdependencies
RF3 → RF2
Verification updates pathway models

As RF3 generates verified empirical data on what genuine corporate climate action actually achieves, those findings feed back to update and recalibrate COMPASS dynamic pathway models.

RF1 → RF3
Stable baselines enable attribution

Meaningful year-over-year attribution is only possible when emission factors are stable and comparable. CLARITY's harmonised factors provide the stable measurement baseline that RF3 requires.

RF4
Residuals
Residual emissions are undefined, enabling CDR to substitute for genuine abatement
36.4% unexplained cross-sectionally (27 to 71% within sectors). Technical limits versus individual choices currently indistinguishable.
Key Stakeholders
Oxford NZ ICVCM Verra Gold Standard SBTN
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Interdependencies
RF2 → RF4
Economic grounding for residual classification

When COMPASS shows marginal abatement cost exceeds marginal adaptation cost for a specific operation, that provides the economic basis for classifying the emission as genuinely residual rather than a choice.

SRM → RF4
Physical constraints inform feasibility

CATALYST physical risk projections define what is technically versus physically residual: where climate impacts themselves constrain abatement options, that constraint must be distinguished from a commercial choice.

SRM
CATALYST
Physical Earth system constraints are ignored in corporate climate targets, making net-zero commitments physically inconsistent
No financial case for rigour currently exists in voluntary frameworks. No convergence across 2014 to 2023 confirms voluntary approaches are insufficient without physical constraints.
Key Stakeholders
TCFD NGFS UNEP-FI Insurers
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Interdependencies
SRM → RF2
Physical constraints update pathways

CATALYST projections update COMPASS dynamic pathway models where physical climate impacts affect the viability of abatement options, for example where water scarcity affects agricultural emission factor assumptions.

SRM → RF4
Technical versus physical residuals

Distinguishing a commercially driven residual from one constrained by physical Earth system limits requires the facility-level climate impact data that CATALYST provides. Without it, RF4 thresholds cannot be applied fairly.

Four Entry Points for Researchers and Partners

The Gigaton Project is an open scientific programme. We are actively building the collaborations, datasets, and partnerships that the research frontiers require to reach publication and real-world adoption.

Let's Build the Infrastructure Together

Whether you are a fellow researcher, an LCA database provider, a corporate pilot candidate, or a policymaker engaged in standards development: we would like to hear from you.

Research and Science

Collaborations, co-authorship, and scientific partnerships across all four frontiers

ramana.gudipudi@gmail.com

Funding and Partnerships

Institutional funders, development banks, and philanthropic foundations

Schedule a briefing →

Standards Engagement

GHG Protocol, SBTi, CSRD, Oxford Net Zero, TCFD working groups

Express interest →